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About: Wells-Riley model     Goto   Sponge   NotDistinct   Permalink

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The Wells-Riley model is a simple model of the airborne transmission of infectious diseases, developed by William F. Wells and Richard L. Riley for tuberculosis and measles. Wells-Riley can also be applied to other diseases transmitted in the air, such as COVID-19. The model describes the situation where one or more infected people are sharing a room (and so the room air) with other people who are susceptible to infection. It makes predictions for the probability that a susceptible person becomes infected. The prediction is that infection is more likely for small poorly ventilated rooms, and if the infected person is highly infectious.